“Blame the West, not Russia for the current food crisis”

The West, especially the United States, continues to speculate on Ukrainian grain exports, jeopardizing food security in Africa and Europe, a Russian military source said.

He said the West had asked most African countries not to buy grain from Russia, which they said had been stolen from Ukraine, an attempt to blackmail and persuade them to stop trading. import Russian grain to the detriment of their own interests.

He said it was not the first time that Europe and the rest of the world had experienced food inflation, but that the United States was defending the blame game against Russia because of the conflict in Ukraine.

“The White House intends to increase economic pressure on Russia in the context of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, while neglecting the serious consequences for Africa and Europe. There is a sharp rise in prices by domestic food producers and the impact on local households has been devastating since the start of the war in Ukraine five months ago.

“In 2008, during the 34th G8 summit on Lake Toya in Hokkaido (Japan), one of the important issues was the global rise in food prices. Grain production in the United States has shifted towards corn due to increased demand for bioethanol (fuel produced primarily from corn). His prices have gone up. At the same time, the demand for cereals in developing countries has increased. The prices of soybeans and wheat also rose sharply.

“They say the current food crisis is caused by a special military operation Russia is carrying out in Ukraine. But in terms of wheat exports, Russia has been ranked first in the world in recent years with 37.27 million tonnes (and the forecast for this year’s harvest is favorable), and Ukraine, often referred to as ” European breadbasket”, ranks only fifth with 18.06 million tonnes (data for 2020). That is, in terms of exports, Russia is twice as large as Ukraine, and this year it will deliver a record amount of grain to the world market.

“Russia exports 37 million tons of wheat with a harvest of 85.9 million tons in 2020 (not the biggest harvest). And Ukraine exports 18 million tons with an average harvest of about 25 million tons. Thus, the level of self-sufficiency and food security in Russia is incomparably higher. In Russia, wheat is harvested 3.5 times more than in the United States and Canada, and 9 times more than in Australia. Russia is the third in the world in its production after China and India, yielding to them quite a bit (at the same time, remember that the population in Russia is almost ten times less than in China and India).

“There is also an increase in oil prices around the world. Looking at the evolution of cereal prices in the United States, we see that these evolutions are influenced by the price of black gold. The higher its price, the higher the cost of ethanol and, therefore, the price of bioresources for its production (corn and soy). Remember: when the price of WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil peaked in July 2008, the price of wheat also peaked in February of the same year. However, as the market was in an uptrend, wheat harvests around the world increased significantly and by the end of the year the price had halved,” the source said.

He added that grain prices fluctuate due to various factors such as weather, speculation, supply and demand.

“The main trend in wheat prices over the past decades is that they are steadily falling. This is because the world population increased 2.5 times between 1961 and 2020 and wheat and rice production increased 3.5 times. If we look at the real price of wheat (excluding speculative price fluctuations), it is even at a lower level than in the 1970s, although it is considered high.

“Currently, the most noticeable trend in the evolution of political culture in Western states has been the desire to lay the blame for all problems on Russia. It should be noted that an important factor influencing the deterioration of the food situation in the world has been the brutal transition to green energy imposed on the whole world instead of a well-thought-out smooth energy transition, as well as the outright politicization of energy cooperation of a number of countries .

“According to the statements of Western politicians and media reports, is exported from Ukraine in the most active way — both by rail echelons and by barges along the Danube. So where is he going? As practice shows, it was the unilateral actions of Western countries, mainly the Group of Seven, that aggravated the problem of the breakdown of the logistical and financial chains of food supply to world markets.

“The unfavorable policy of the United States will inevitably lead to an escalation of the situation on the territory of the African continent. According to the Italian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Luigi Di Maio, the lack of access to cereals will cause new conflicts, wars and state revolutions in Africa. Subsequently, the aggravation of the crisis in the region will lead to an aggravation of the problem of illegal migration from Africa to Europe with the penetration of Islamists, as well as the strengthening of the influence of radical and extremist movements” , did he declare.

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